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Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

$9.09•56.1% ROI
Live RTP Stats

Open a case to see stats.

Case Contents (79 items)

Knives (65)

0.004%
★ Karambit | Stained
★ Karambit | StainedExtraordinary Karambit
$635.02 - $1,304.52
0.004%
★ Gut Knife | Stained
★ Gut Knife | StainedExtraordinary Gut Knife
$89.40 - $199.91
0.004%
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter
★ M9 Bayonet | SlaughterExtraordinary M9 Bayonet
$940.87 - $1,633.55

Weapon Skins (14)

0.32%
P2000 | Fire Elemental
P2000 | Fire ElementalCovert Pistol
$84.73 - $467.27
0.32%
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
AK-47 | Wasteland RebelCovert Rifle
$116.14 - $1,200.00
1.067%
P250 | Cartel
P250 | CartelClassified Pistol
$11.82 - $106.72
1.067%
XM1014 | Tranquility
XM1014 | TranquilityClassified Shotgun
$12.15 - $126.50
1.067%
SCAR-20 | Cardiac
SCAR-20 | CardiacClassified Sniper Rifle
$11.59 - $93.75
3.995%
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Sawed-Off | HighwaymanRestricted Shotgun
$1.61 - $17.76
3.995%
M4A1-S | Basilisk
M4A1-S | BasiliskRestricted Rifle
$10.94 - $86.90
3.995%
Glock-18 | Grinder
Glock-18 | GrinderRestricted Pistol
$4.45 - $19.61
3.995%
M4A4 | Griffin
M4A4 | GriffinRestricted Rifle
$5.50 - $162.81
15.984%
MAG-7 | Firestarter
MAG-7 | FirestarterMil-Spec Shotgun
$1.49 - $23.43
15.984%
G3SG1 | Murky
G3SG1 | MurkyMil-Spec Sniper Rifle
$2.13 - $5.86
15.984%
MP9 | Dart
MP9 | DartMil-Spec SMG
$1.34 - $7.67
15.984%
UMP-45 | Delusion
UMP-45 | DelusionMil-Spec SMG
$1.52 - $10.35
15.984%
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard
Five-SeveN | Urban HazardMil-Spec Pistol
$4.49 - $10.25

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case — Free CS2 Case Simulator

Open the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case with Valve's exact drop rates — 0.26% for knives. Real odds, real item pool, zero risk.

$9.09
Market Price
85%
Popularity
4.2 ★
12.5K votes
0.26%
Knives odds
56.1%
Expected ROI

Drop Rates & Rarity(79 items)

Extraordinary (Knives/Gloves)65
0.26%
Covert2
0.64%
Classified3
3.20%
Restricted4
15.98%
Mil-Spec Grade5
79.92%

About the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case landed on November 11, 2014 with the “Operation Vanguard” update, marking Container Series #29. Inside, you'll find 79 skins spread across 5 rarity tiers. The chase items are the 5 knives across 17 finishes sitting at the top with a 0.26% drop chance. The most valuable drop is the ★ Karambit (Vanilla), worth up to $2,425.84 on the Steam Market. Note: ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened with rare “Blue Gem” patterns can far exceed average market prices.

Currently sitting at 85% popularity, the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case ranks among the most sought-after containers in CS2. The community rates it 4.2/5 across 12.5K votes. Notable pro players who own it include kennys, adren, kioshima.

On the Steam Market, the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case trades at around $9.09. Factor in the $2.49 key and each opening runs you $11.58. Not sure it's worth the key? Open it here first — same odds, zero cost.

Based on current Steam Market prices and real drop rates, the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case sits at 56.1% ROI — for every $11.58 you spend (case + key), the average return is about $6.50 in items. Like most weapon cases, the math favors Valve — but a knives pull flips the equation entirely. That's the gamble.

Trivia

  • •The artwork on M4A4 | Griffin was modified due to copyright infringement, similar to the case with the M4A4 | Howl in the Huntsman Weapon Case. However, it was not removed from the case and its rarity was unchanged.
  • •The AK-47 Wasteland Rebel has the numbers 7355608 written on it, which is the C4 code.
  • •AK-47 Wasteland Rebel shows the phrase 1337 Krew (leetspeak version of Elite Crew) drawn in a heavily stylized way on the receiver and a Terrorists symbol drawn on the magazine. The right side also shows the phrase "Make Them Cry!", referencing an Elite Crew quote "We will make them cry!"
  • •The AK-47 Wasteland Rebel has the phrase "The pizza is a lie" written on the right side of its handguard four times. It is a reference to the internet meme The Cake is a lie. : :* Added to the game }} ==References==

Key Facts

  • •Knives: 0.26% drop rate
  • •StatTrak™ variants: 10% chance on eligible tiers
  • •Top item: ★ Karambit (Vanilla) — up to $2,425.84
  • •Expected ROI: 56.1% ($6.50 EV per $11.58 opening incl. key)
  • •Free simulator — real drop rates, no money required
  • •Every opening is independent — past results don't change future odds

FAQ

What items are in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case contains 79 skins across 5 rarity tiers: 65 ★ Rare Special, 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 4 Restricted, 5 Mil-Spec. That includes 5 knives across 17 finishes at the top. Market values range from $1.34 up to $2,425.84.
How do I open the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case for free?▼
You can open the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case right here on our Case Opening Simulator — it runs Valve's exact drop probabilities so every unboxing feels realistic. You can also check the expected ROI and per-item odds before you open. No account, no download, and no Steam login needed.
Are the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case drop rates realistic?▼
Yes. We use the exact drop probabilities Valve publishes for CS2 containers. For the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, that means knives at 0.26% per opening. Every tier matches the real in-game odds.
What are the knives drop rates in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
Knives drop at 0.26% per opening — roughly 1 in 1 in 385 tries. The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case has 5 knives across 17 finishes, so each individual one is even rarer.
What is the most valuable skin in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
The ★ Karambit (Vanilla) is the top pull, valued at up to $2,425.84 on the Steam Market. This case also contains ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened — rare "Blue Gem" patterns with high percentages of blue can sell for many times the listed average price.
When was the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case added to CS2?▼
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case was added to the game on November 11, 2014, alongside the "Operation Vanguard" update. It is classified as Container Series #29. It replaced the ESports 2014 Summer Case as the newest case.
How much does the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case cost on the Steam Market?▼
Around $9.09 at time of writing. Add $2.49 for the key and each opening totals $11.58. You can try it risk-free in our simulator before buying.
What is the expected ROI of the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
56.1% — meaning a $11.58 opening (case + key) returns about $6.50 on average. Most value is locked behind the rare special items — the average opening returns less than cost.
Does the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case have StatTrak™ items?▼
Yes — any non-special skin can drop as StatTrak™ (10% chance), which tracks your kills in-game and typically adds a significant premium to the item's market value.