|
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case
$8.27•37.9% ROI
Live RTP Stats
Open a case to see stats.
Case Contents (79 items)
Knives (65)
0.004%
★ Karambit | StainedExtraordinary Karambit
$635.02 - $1,291.73
0.004%
★ Gut Knife | StainedExtraordinary Gut Knife
$85.31 - $199.91
0.004%
★ M9 Bayonet | SlaughterExtraordinary M9 Bayonet
$840.91 - $1,344.00
Weapon Skins (14)
0.32%
P2000 | Fire ElementalCovert Pistol
$98.79 - $244.63
0.32%
AK-47 | Wasteland RebelCovert Rifle
$105.00 - $1,200.00
1.067%
P250 | CartelClassified Pistol
$12.01 - $143.75
1.067%
XM1014 | TranquilityClassified Shotgun
$11.64 - $111.20
1.067%
SCAR-20 | CardiacClassified Sniper Rifle
$12.22 - $90.00
3.995%
Sawed-Off | HighwaymanRestricted Shotgun
$1.47 - $19.12
3.995%
M4A1-S | BasiliskRestricted Rifle
$10.78 - $78.10
3.995%
Glock-18 | GrinderRestricted Pistol
$3.94 - $18.36
3.995%
M4A4 | GriffinRestricted Rifle
$5.71 - $184.77
15.984%
MAG-7 | FirestarterMil-Spec Shotgun
$0.96 - $26.50
15.984%
G3SG1 | MurkyMil-Spec Sniper Rifle
$0.91 - $4.69
15.984%
MP9 | DartMil-Spec SMG
$0.48 - $10.53
15.984%
UMP-45 | DelusionMil-Spec SMG
$1.07 - $12.14
15.984%
Five-SeveN | Urban HazardMil-Spec Pistol
$3.47 - $8.06
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case — Free CS2 Case Simulator
Open the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case with Valve's exact drop rates — 0.26% for knives. Real odds, real item pool, zero risk.
$8.27
Market Price
0.26%
Knives odds
37.9%
Expected ROI
Drop Rates & Rarity(79 items)
Extraordinary (Knives/Gloves)65
0.26%
Covert2
0.64%
Classified3
3.20%
Restricted4
15.98%
Mil-Spec Grade5
79.92%
About the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case arrived on November 11, 2014 with the "Operation Vanguard" update and now sits in a useful corner of the old-case hierarchy. It has the operation label and the classic knife pool, but it does not live in the absolute top collector bracket with the earliest Arms Deal cases.
That makes Vanguard one of the more believable ways to open an older operation case if you want the feel of early CS without paying original-case money. You are still paying for age and supply, of course, but not for the full myth tax.
Trivia
- •The artwork on M4A4 | Griffin was modified due to copyright infringement, similar to the case with the M4A4 | Howl in the Huntsman Weapon Case. However, it was not removed from the case and its rarity was unchanged.
- •The AK-47 Wasteland Rebel has the numbers 7355608 written on it, which is the C4 code.
- •AK-47 Wasteland Rebel shows the phrase 1337 Krew (leetspeak version of Elite Crew) drawn in a heavily stylized way on the receiver and a Terrorists symbol drawn on the magazine. The right side also shows the phrase "Make Them Cry!", referencing an Elite Crew quote "We will make them cry!"
Key Facts
- •Knives: 0.26% drop rate
- •StatTrak™ variants: 10% chance on eligible tiers
- •Top item: ★ Karambit | Case Hardened — value depends entirely on the pattern, with the famous “Blue Gem” Karambit selling for over $1 million in private trades
- •Expected ROI: 37.9% ($4.08 EV per $10.76 opening incl. key)
- •Every opening is independent — past results don't change future odds
FAQ
Where does Operation Vanguard Weapon Case sit in the old-case hierarchy?▼
It sits below the earliest Arms Deal cases in pure myth, but it still carries operation weight and the classic knife pool. That makes it one of the more believable ways to open an older operation case today.
What items are in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case contains 79 skins across 5 rarity tiers: 65 ★ Rare Special, 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 4 Restricted, 5 Mil-Spec. The rare special tier includes 5 knives across 17 finishes.
How do I open the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case for free?▼
Use the simulator on this page. It runs Valve's published drop probabilities, so the unboxing pattern matches the real case. You can also see the expected ROI before committing real money to it. No login or download.
Are the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case drop rates realistic?▼
Yes. The simulator uses the drop probabilities Valve publishes for CS2 containers. For the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, that means knives at 0.26% per opening.
What are the knives drop rates in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
Knives land at 0.26% per opening — about 1 in 385. The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case has 5 knives across 17 finishes, so the odds of pulling one specific finish are noticeably lower than the headline number suggests.
What is the most valuable skin in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
The ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is the headline pull, but its real value depends on the blue-pattern percentage rather than the listed Steam Market price. The famous "Blue Gem" Karambit (pattern 387) has reportedly sold for over $1 million in private deals, while ordinary patterns trade for a fraction of that.
When was the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case added to CS2?▼
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case was added to the game on November 11, 2014, alongside the "Operation Vanguard" update. It is classified as Container Series #29. It replaced the ESports 2014 Summer Case as the newest case.
How much does the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case cost?▼
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case costs around $8.27 on the Steam Market as of May. Add $2.49 for the key and each opening totals $10.76. You can try it risk-free in our simulator before buying.
What is the expected ROI of the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?▼
37.9% — meaning a $10.76 opening (case + key) returns about $4.08 on average. Most value is locked behind the rare special items — the average opening returns less than cost.
Does the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case have StatTrak™ items?▼
Yes. Non-special skins can drop as StatTrak™ at a 10% chance. The variant tracks in-game kills and usually trades at a premium over the standard version.