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Operation Wildfire Case
$5.58•34.1% ROI
Live RTP Stats
Open a case to see stats.
Case Contents (29 items)
Knives (13)
0.02%
★ Bowie Knife | Boreal ForestExtraordinary Bowie Knife
$72.62 - $269.94
0.02%
★ Bowie Knife | StainedExtraordinary Bowie Knife
$102.41 - $301.98
0.02%
★ Bowie Knife | ScorchedExtraordinary Bowie Knife
$80.88 - $217.59
Weapon Skins (16)
0.32%
M4A4 | The BattlestarCovert Rifle
$42.75 - $205.30
0.32%
AK-47 | Fuel InjectorCovert Rifle
$144.96 - $1,072.42
1.067%
Desert Eagle | Kumicho DragonClassified Pistol
$23.29 - $157.94
1.067%
Nova | Hyper BeastClassified Shotgun
$16.46 - $121.00
1.067%
AWP | Elite BuildClassified Sniper Rifle
$17.90 - $166.66
3.196%
FAMAS | ValenceRestricted Rifle
$3.84 - $43.70
3.196%
MAG-7 | PraetorianRestricted Shotgun
$2.34 - $13.88
3.196%
Five-SeveN | TriumvirateRestricted Pistol
$2.53 - $33.59
3.196%
Glock-18 | Royal LegionRestricted Pistol
$3.76 - $100.79
3.196%
MP7 | ImpireRestricted SMG
$2.69 - $31.54
13.32%
USP-S | Lead ConduitMil-Spec Pistol
$0.63 - $37.28
13.32%
MAC-10 | Lapis GatorMil-Spec SMG
$1.07 - $4.75
13.32%
Dual Berettas | CartelMil-Spec Pistol
$0.60 - $11.07
13.32%
SSG 08 | NecroposMil-Spec Sniper Rifle
$0.55 - $8.76
13.32%
PP-Bizon | Photic ZoneMil-Spec SMG
$0.39 - $6.98
13.32%
Tec-9 | JambiyaMil-Spec Pistol
$0.70 - $28.56
Operation Wildfire Case — Free CS2 Case Simulator
Open the Operation Wildfire Case with Valve's exact drop rates — 0.26% for knives. Real odds, real item pool, zero risk.
$5.58
Market Price
0.26%
Knives odds
34.1%
Expected ROI
Drop Rates & Rarity(29 items)
Extraordinary (Knives/Gloves)13
0.26%
Covert2
0.64%
Classified3
3.20%
Restricted5
15.98%
Mil-Spec Grade6
79.92%
About the Operation Wildfire Case
Released on February 17, 2016 with the "Operation Wildfire" update, Operation Wildfire Case has a very simple identity: this is the Bowie Knife case. That headline is strong enough that the rest of the release almost always gets read through it.
If you care about that oversized silhouette and the fact that this was its first real home, Wildfire still has a reason to exist in the market. It is not a universal favorite, but it never feels anonymous.
Trivia
- •The "accepted" workshop item for the MP7 Impire is actually the MP9 Impire.
Key Facts
- •Knives: 0.26% drop rate
- •StatTrak™ variants: 10% chance on eligible tiers
- •Top item: ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened — value depends entirely on the pattern; rare “Blue Gem” patterns trade far above the listed market
- •Expected ROI: 34.1% ($2.75 EV per $8.07 opening incl. key)
- •Every opening is independent — past results don't change future odds
FAQ
What keeps Operation Wildfire Case distinct?▼
The Bowie Knife debut. That is the headline, and it is enough to stop the case from blending into the rest of the 2016 releases.
What items are in the Operation Wildfire Case?▼
The Operation Wildfire Case contains 29 skins across 5 rarity tiers: 13 ★ Rare Special, 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 6 Mil-Spec. The rare special tier includes 1 knive across 13 finishes.
How do I open the Operation Wildfire Case for free?▼
Use the simulator on this page. It runs Valve's published drop probabilities, so the unboxing pattern matches the real case. You can also see the expected ROI before committing real money to it. No login or download.
Are the Operation Wildfire Case drop rates realistic?▼
Yes. The simulator uses the drop probabilities Valve publishes for CS2 containers. For the Operation Wildfire Case, that means knives at 0.26% per opening.
What are the knives drop rates in the Operation Wildfire Case?▼
Knives land at 0.26% per opening — about 1 in 385. The Operation Wildfire Case has 1 knive across 13 finishes, so the odds of pulling one specific finish are noticeably lower than the headline number suggests.
What is the most valuable skin in the Operation Wildfire Case?▼
The ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened is the headline pull, but its real value depends on the blue-pattern percentage rather than the listed Steam Market price. Rare "Blue Gem" patterns from this case can trade for many multiples of the average listed price.
When was the Operation Wildfire Case added to CS2?▼
The Operation Wildfire Case was added to the game on February 17, 2016, alongside the "Operation Wildfire" update. It is classified as Container Series #141. It replaced the Revolver Case as the newest case.
How much does the Operation Wildfire Case cost?▼
The Operation Wildfire Case costs around $5.58 on the Steam Market as of May. Add $2.49 for the key and each opening totals $8.07. You can try it risk-free in our simulator before buying.
What is the expected ROI of the Operation Wildfire Case?▼
34.1% — meaning a $8.07 opening (case + key) returns about $2.75 on average. Most value is locked behind the rare special items — the average opening returns less than cost.
Does the Operation Wildfire Case have StatTrak™ items?▼
Yes. Non-special skins can drop as StatTrak™ at a 10% chance. The variant tracks in-game kills and usually trades at a premium over the standard version.