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Falchion Case
$2.70•36.1% ROI
Live RTP Stats
Open a case to see stats.
Case Contents (29 items)
Knives (13)
0.02%
★ Falchion Knife | Safari MeshExtraordinary Falchion Knife
$81.27 - $200.00
0.02%
★ Falchion Knife | Crimson WebExtraordinary Falchion Knife
$144.96 - $1,318.53
0.02%
★ Falchion Knife | Case HardenedExtraordinary Falchion Knife
$189.96 - $652.19
Weapon Skins (16)
0.32%
AK-47 | Aquamarine RevengeCovert Rifle
$45.99 - $486.20
0.32%
AWP | Hyper BeastCovert Sniper Rifle
$47.34 - $344.83
1.067%
MP7 | NemesisClassified SMG
$10.02 - $45.16
1.067%
CZ75-Auto | Yellow JacketClassified Pistol
$5.65 - $59.27
1.067%
SG 553 | CyrexClassified Rifle
$5.93 - $104.64
3.196%
Negev | LoudmouthRestricted Machine Gun
$1.20 - $57.81
3.196%
FAMAS | Neural NetRestricted Rifle
$1.53 - $20.67
3.196%
P2000 | HandgunRestricted Pistol
$1.46 - $34.89
3.196%
M4A4 | Evil DaimyoRestricted Rifle
$4.82 - $29.84
3.196%
MP9 | Ruby Poison DartRestricted SMG
$1.77 - $10.51
13.32%
Nova | RangerMil-Spec Shotgun
$0.35 - $3.49
13.32%
P90 | Elite BuildMil-Spec SMG
$0.45 - $7.58
13.32%
Galil AR | Rocket PopMil-Spec Rifle
$0.85 - $33.27
13.32%
USP-S | TorqueMil-Spec Pistol
$1.01 - $5.75
13.32%
UMP-45 | RiotMil-Spec SMG
$0.45 - $2.92
13.32%
Glock-18 | Bunsen BurnerMil-Spec Pistol
$1.25 - $10.00
Falchion Case — Free CS2 Case Simulator
Open the Falchion Case with Valve's exact drop rates — 0.26% for knives. Real odds, real item pool, zero risk.
$2.70
Market Price
0.26%
Knives odds
36.1%
Expected ROI
Drop Rates & Rarity(29 items)
Extraordinary (Knives/Gloves)13
0.26%
Covert2
0.64%
Classified3
3.20%
Restricted5
15.98%
Mil-Spec Grade6
79.92%
About the Falchion Case
Falchion Case dropped on May 26, 2015 with the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update and its identity has never really changed: this is the Falchion Knife debut case. That single fact is enough to keep it memorable.
The skin pool matters, but the sales pitch is the knife model and the animation set that comes with it. If you like the Falchion silhouette and want the source case for it, opening this case makes emotional sense even when the expected value does not.
Trivia
- •The Negev | Loudmouth skin shows a smiley face drawn on the bottom of the feed cover, and can be seen when reloading.
- •The word "Run!" is written on the front side of the magazine of the weapon, which is not visible in first-person but visible when inspecting.
- •It is not possible to obtain it in a Factory New condition.
- •A Battle-Scarred AWP | Hyper Beast will only show the creature on the gun.
Key Facts
- •Knives: 0.26% drop rate
- •StatTrak™ variants: 10% chance on eligible tiers
- •Top item: ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened — value depends entirely on the pattern; rare “Blue Gem” patterns trade far above the listed market
- •Expected ROI: 36.1% ($1.87 EV per $5.19 opening incl. key)
- •Every opening is independent — past results don't change future odds
FAQ
What makes Falchion Case stand out from other 2015 cases?▼
It is the debut case for the Falchion Knife, and that alone gives it a clear identity. If you like that knife model and its unusual animation set, this is the origin point.
What items are in the Falchion Case?▼
The Falchion Case contains 29 skins across 5 rarity tiers: 13 ★ Rare Special, 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 6 Mil-Spec. The rare special tier includes 1 knive across 13 finishes.
How do I open the Falchion Case for free?▼
Use the simulator on this page. It runs Valve's published drop probabilities, so the unboxing pattern matches the real case. You can also see the expected ROI before committing real money to it. No login or download.
Are the Falchion Case drop rates realistic?▼
Yes. The simulator uses the drop probabilities Valve publishes for CS2 containers. For the Falchion Case, that means knives at 0.26% per opening.
What are the knives drop rates in the Falchion Case?▼
Knives land at 0.26% per opening — about 1 in 385. The Falchion Case has 1 knive across 13 finishes, so the odds of pulling one specific finish are noticeably lower than the headline number suggests.
What is the most valuable skin in the Falchion Case?▼
The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened is the headline pull, but its real value depends on the blue-pattern percentage rather than the listed Steam Market price. Rare "Blue Gem" patterns from this case can trade for many multiples of the average listed price.
When was the Falchion Case added to CS2?▼
The Falchion Case was added to the game on May 26, 2015, alongside the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. It is classified as Container Series #50. It replaced the Chroma 2 Case as the newest case.
How much does the Falchion Case cost?▼
The Falchion Case costs around $2.70 on the Steam Market as of May. Add $2.49 for the key and each opening totals $5.19. You can try it risk-free in our simulator before buying.
What is the expected ROI of the Falchion Case?▼
36.1% — meaning a $5.19 opening (case + key) returns about $1.87 on average. Most value is locked behind the rare special items — the average opening returns less than cost.
Does the Falchion Case have StatTrak™ items?▼
Yes. Non-special skins can drop as StatTrak™ at a 10% chance. The variant tracks in-game kills and usually trades at a premium over the standard version.