Shadow Case
Open a case to see stats.
Case Contents (29 items)
Knives (13)
Weapon Skins (16)
Shadow Case — Free CS2 Case Simulator
Open the Shadow Case with Valve's exact drop rates — 0.26% for knives. Real odds, real item pool, zero risk.
Drop Rates & Rarity(29 items)
About the Shadow Case
The Shadow Case landed on September 18, 2015 with the “Shadow Boxing” update, marking Container Series #80. Inside, you'll find 29 skins spread across 5 rarity tiers. The chase items are the 1 knive across 13 finishes sitting at the top with a 0.26% drop chance. The most valuable drop is the USP-S | Kill Confirmed, worth up to $830.07 on the Steam Market. Note: ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened with rare “Blue Gem” patterns can far exceed average market prices.
Currently sitting at 85% popularity, the Shadow Case ranks among the most sought-after containers in CS2. The community rates it 4.6/5 across 9.2K votes. Notable pro players who own it include happy, taz, adren.
On the Steam Market, the Shadow Case trades at around $3.28. Factor in the $2.49 key and each opening runs you $5.77. Not sure it's worth the key? Open it here first — same odds, zero cost.
Based on current Steam Market prices and real drop rates, the Shadow Case sits at 57.4% ROI — for every $5.77 you spend (case + key), the average return is about $3.31 in items. Like most weapon cases, the math favors Valve — but a knives pull flips the equation entirely. That's the gamble.
Trivia
- •The weapons selected for the Shadow Case were announced prior to the actual skins' choosing via a steam community post. This is the first time this was done publicly.
- •This also allowed skin authors to solicit directly to be included in the upcoming case, much like what was already being done with operations.
- •Originally, the G3SG1 was going to be a covert weapon in this case but was later swapped with the USP-S.
- •On the M249 | Nebula Crusader, the six-digit score counter shown is located at the exact same location where the StatTrakâ„¢ counter is on the M249. The score counter would be perfectly covered by the StatTrakâ„¢ counter on a StatTrakâ„¢ version of the skin.
- •The XM1014 | Scumbria is based on the Scumbria fish pattern, as well as the Five-SeveN | Scumbria in the Gamma 2 Case. : :* Added to the game }}
Key Facts
- •Knives: 0.26% drop rate
- •StatTrak™ variants: 10% chance on eligible tiers
- •Top item: USP-S | Kill Confirmed — up to $830.07
- •Expected ROI: 57.4% ($3.31 EV per $5.77 opening incl. key)
- •Free simulator — real drop rates, no money required
- •Every opening is independent — past results don't change future odds